{"id":87,"date":"2004-09-18T14:22:55","date_gmt":"2004-09-18T14:22:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php\/2004\/09\/18\/google_the_oakl\/"},"modified":"2004-09-18T14:22:55","modified_gmt":"2004-09-18T14:22:55","slug":"google_the_oakl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/?p=87","title":{"rendered":"Google &#8211; the Oakland As of IPOs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By all accounts, Google&#8217;s recent IPO was hugely successful (eg see <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chriscurnow.com\/archives\/000161.php\">Surowiecki on the Google IPO<\/a>).<br \/>\nBut Google made one big mistake, at least in the eyes of the big investment banks &#8211; it didn&#8217;t bring in one of the big investments banks to manage the deal.<br \/>\nSo guess what, the investment banks all missed out on the biggest deal of the last few years. And guess what, they, and the major financial commentatorst are scrambling to find new arguments to support their theory that Google&#8217;s IPO was a failure.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/home\/strategies\/2004\/09\/17\/cx_sr_0917ipooutlook.html\">Here<\/a> is the latest from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\">Forbes.com<\/a>.<br \/>\nSince reading <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/exec\/obidos\/ASIN\/0393324818\/chriscurnowco-20\">Moneyball<\/a> earlier in the year, I keep seeing examples of Lewis&#8217;s analysis everywhere.<br \/>\nThe analysis of Google&#8217;s IPO is another one. Google found an inefficiency in the market and exploited it. The people who benefit from the inefficiencey (in this case the major investment banks and the financial commentators) either try to write off the success as a fluke or perversely argue that the success was in fact a failure.<br \/>\nIt is an exact parallel to <em>Moneyball&#8217;s<\/em> Oakland A&#8217;s (the second poorest team in the [baseball] major league who came within a few outs of knocking the New York Yankees out of the playoffs). The other teams argued that the Oakland A&#8217;s were a fluke and that in fact, despite coming so close, their failure to win the title proved that they were no good after all.<br \/>\nYou either have to laugh or cry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By all accounts, Google&#8217;s recent IPO was hugely successful (eg see Surowiecki on the Google IPO). But Google made one big mistake, at least in the eyes of the big investment banks &#8211; it didn&#8217;t bring in one of the big investments banks to manage the deal. So guess what, the investment banks all missed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=87"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=87"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=87"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chriscurnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=87"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}